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ATG scenario engine is one of the feature that ATG provides for a personalised user experience, but the major limitation of scenario is it is event driven, you need to design your ecommerce application in such a way that you have to identify the possible events anddecide on appropriate actions. This will help in very few scenarios but a larger ecommerce application concerns it is very limited.
--At first do you know the example that you use a scenario positively, and realizes an offer and recommend?
This will be very difficult to achieve using a scenario, you can display some basic promotions to the customer but not a real recommendation. First to remember that scenario is not a recommendation engine.
Also this will not useful in case of anonymous customer since tracking anonymous customer behaviour is extremely difficult without a proper recommendation engine. either you have to custom build or go with a third party recommendation engine.