How to read Shipment Forecast Casual Details ? Any insights or Documentation on the same ?
SummaryCasual Factors Analysis
Need some help or any documentation on how to read and explain this decomposition groups?
I queried on the table in demand management "Shipments Forecast Casual Details" I get to see the following data against the month of Aug 21.
Level Decomposition Group 8666
Lag Decomposition Group 3
Seasonality Decomposition Group 814
Trend Decomposition Group 2025
Total Shipment Forecast 11508
Please correct me if I am wrong: Is this explanation good.- just for confirmation ?.............The level decomposition group 8666 is the unbiased forecast (based on naive forecasting) based on the historical data (as of past year/last 12 months etc.). 814 is the forecast increase based on seasonal Impact in the month of Aug, 2025 increase is because of some trend impact of the past /history shipment data, Lag is because of the impact of time lag/order fulfillment lead time between the demand and actual sales/shipments happening to meet that demand.