You're almost there! Please answer a few more questions for access to the Applications content. Complete registration
Interested in joining? Complete your registration by providing Areas of Interest here. Register

How to read Shipment Forecast Casual Details ? Any insights or Documentation on the same ?

Accepted answer
edited Aug 10, 2021 9:49AM in Supply Chain Planning and Collaboration 1 comment


Casual Factors Analysis



Need some help or any documentation on how to read and explain this decomposition groups?

I queried on the table in demand management "Shipments Forecast Casual Details"  I get to see the following data against the month of Aug 21.

Level Decomposition Group  8666

Lag Decomposition Group  3

Seasonality Decomposition Group  814

Trend Decomposition Group 2025

Total Shipment Forecast  11508

Please correct me if I am wrong:  Is this explanation good.- just for confirmation ?.............The level decomposition group 8666 is the unbiased forecast (based on naive forecasting) based on the historical data (as of past year/last 12 months etc.).  814 is the forecast increase based on seasonal Impact in the month of Aug,  2025 increase is because of some trend impact of the past /history shipment data, Lag is because of the impact of time lag/order fulfillment lead time between the demand and actual sales/shipments happening to meet that demand.

Howdy, Stranger!

Log In

To view full details, sign in.


Don't have an account? Click here to get started!